El Niño watch issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
Climate scientists estimate the warm weather pattern could begin to develop as early as May.
www.cbsnews.comHere are the latest updates on El Niño as of now.
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Global ENSO status: The tropical Pacific is edging toward El Niño, with NOAA CPC indicating increasing odds of El Niño development in the May–July window. This transition would bring a shift from neutral conditions toward El Niño during the latter half of 2026, depending on oceanic and atmospheric feedbacks. [source: NOAA CPC outlooks]
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Ocean temperatures: Central and eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures have shown persistent warming trends in recent weeks, a key signal that forecasters monitor for El Niño formation. If these temperatures remain elevated relative to seasonal norms, the chance of El Niño strengthens. [source: NOAA CPC discussions]
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Regional impacts: Onset of El Niño commonly correlates with wetter conditions in the eastern Pacific and parts of the tropics, along with potential shifts in hurricane activity in the Atlantic and drought patterns in other regions. However, exact outcomes depend on the strength and duration of the event. [sources: WMO ENSO updates; NOAA ENSO analyses]
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Regional considerations for Prague/Central Europe: El Niño tends to influence global weather patterns more than regional weather on short timescales, but can modulate winter storm tracks and climate extremes indirectly via global circulation shifts. For Central Europe, the effect is usually more subtle and often interacts with other regional drivers. [general ENSO impact understanding; no single citation needed for regional specificity]
If you’d like, I can fetch the most recent official ENSO diagnostic discussions (e.g., NOAA CPC ENSO Advisory) and summarize their key points, or pull the latest WMO/IRI ENSO updates with dates and probabilities.